Recent Trend:
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has been in a steady uptrend for the past two years, reflecting Bitcoin’s outperformance relative to altcoins. The rise in BTC.D indicates that Bitcoin has been capturing a larger share of the overall cryptocurrency market compared to altcoins.
Bearish Divergence:
The weekly chart now shows a bearish divergence, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has failed to confirm the recent upside move. This signals that the buying momentum behind BTC.D is weakening, even though the price has been pushing higher. A divergence of this nature can often suggest a reversal or slowdown in the current trend.
Resistance Levels:
There is significant overhead resistance between the 66% and 73% levels, which were last tested during the 2021 bull run. During that time, BTC.D faced rejection in this range, leading to a shift of capital into altcoins.
A rejection at this resistance could lead to a shift in market dynamics, with altcoins seeing increased demand and potentially entering a rally.
Potential Catalysts for an Altcoin Rally:
If BTC.D faces rejection at these key resistance levels, it could signal the start of an altcoin rally, as market capital may flow out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. Traders will closely monitor this resistance zone as a potential catalyst for a shift in market sentiment.
Outlook:
The bearish divergence on the RSI and the presence of strong resistance between 66% and 73% suggests that Bitcoin dominance might be at a turning point. A rejection in this zone would open up the possibility for altcoins to outperform Bitcoin in the near term.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin dominance remains in an uptrend, but the bearish divergence and resistance between 66% and 73% on the BTC.D chart suggest that altcoins could gain momentum if BTC.D faces rejection at this level. Traders should closely monitor this zone, as a reversal in Bitcoin’s dominance could signal the start of a broader altcoin market rally.