AUD/JPY marks a five-day selloff as it extends the decline from the start of the week, with the recent weakness in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in oversold territory.
AUD/JPY Outlook
Keep in mind, AUD/JPY cleared the 2024 low (90.40) following the failed attempts to close above the 50-Day SMA (94.38), and the move below 30 in the RSI is likely to be accompanied by a further decline in the exchange rate like the price action from last year.
A move/close below the 0.8660 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8740 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone brings the 2023 low (86.06) back on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around 85.20 (100% Fibonacci extension.
At the same time, lack of momentum to close below the 0.8660 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8740 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may pull the RSI back from overbought territory, with a breach/close above 89.20 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) raising the scope for a move towards 90.50 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).
— Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com