SMC Trading point update
updated chart provides a more refined bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Here’s the idea behind this analysis:
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Market Structure Overview:
Resistance Level: ~1.14292
Mid Support Zone: ~1.13500
Major Support (Target Point): ~1.12658
Current Price: 1.13787
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Indicators:
EMA 200 (1.12174): Price is above the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bullish bias, but that may be weakening.
RSI (14): Around 54.37, slightly bullish but neutral—no strong momentum.
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Trading Idea:
1. Short-Term Bullish Move:
Price is expected to rise to test the resistance level around 1.14292.
2. Bearish Reversal at Resistance:
From there, a rejection is anticipated, leading to a drop back to the mid support (~1.13500).
3. Break Below Mid Support:
If the price fails to hold the mid support zone, a breakdown is likely to continue toward the target point at 1.12658, which aligns with the previous big support level.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Strategy Suggestion:
Sell Setup 1: At resistance (~1.14292), with confirmation like bearish candles or divergence on RSI.
Sell Setup 2: On breakdown and retest of the 1.13500 support zone.
Take Profit: Target at 1.12658.
Stop Loss: Above 1.14300 or above the most recent swing high.
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Pales support boost analysis follow)