Macro Fundamentals
LEI improving → 86.8 → 90
Exo + LEI score = 78.5 → Healthy trend continuation bias
Exogenous factors: April score 4.5 → positive skew
USD macro weak & dovish, GBP maintaining hawkish tone
Seasonality
GBP bullish from April 24 onward
USD bearish all month
Perfect seasonality window for bullish GBP/USD swing
COT Sentiment
Both GBP and USD = ️ Neutral
→ No positioning pressure, clean technical entry expected
Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken out of structure, now retesting resistance as support
Structure forming above 1.32312, with a solid upside trend
Plan: Enter on breakout retest for trend continuation
Entry: 1.32312
Stop Loss: 1.31581 (below structure)
Take Profit: Trail or target based on 1.3550–1.3600 zone
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+