🧭 Market Sentiment
The overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by:
• Lower inflation data
• Trump’s policy shift toward aggressive rate cuts
This creates a strong risk-on environment across U.S. indices.
Previous Week Recap
• NQ continued its price discovery phase
• Price swept 4H swing liquidity and triggered a market structure shift
• A new 1H demand zone was formed after MSS
• Price revisited the 1H demand and launched toward new all-time highs (ATH)
• While I anticipated a deeper retracement, ES provided the cleaner pullback
• I executed longs on both ES and NQ using SMT divergence (ICT SMT concept)
Technical Analysis
My bias remains bullish as long as the higher timeframe structure holds.
For the upcoming week:
• Watching for either the 4H or 12H swing high to get swept
• Ideally, a retracement toward the 0.5 Fib level, which aligns with my bullish discount zone
• A clean liquidity sweep into this zone could act as a launchpad for the next leg higher
️ Trade Setup & Execution Plan
Entry Strategy:
• Wait for a new 1H–4H Market Structure Shift
• Identify the new demand zone post-MSS
• Look for price to return to the zone for a long opportunity with LTF confirmation
Trade Management:
Target: New ATH
Stoploss: Swing low of the 1H–4H demand zone
Chart will include Fib levels, MSS zones, and execution trigger areas.
Let me know your thoughts or share your plan below.
Happy trading!