As forecasted in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair is continuing its upward trajectory. This growth is in line with our expectations, but we are approaching key levels where the pair may encounter resistance.
One of the primary resistance areas we have identified is around the 1.0860 level. This supply area has been drawn based on historical price actions and is anticipated to act as a barrier to the current upward momentum. Just beyond this level, we see further resistance at the psychological level of 1.0900, which often serves as a significant hurdle due to market sentiment and trader behaviors.
In these areas, we are looking for a possible reversal of the price. This outlook is reinforced by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which provides insights into the positioning of major market participants. The COT report indicates that traders may be preparing for a shift, aligning with our expectation of resistance and potential price reversal at these levels.
Additionally, the chart reveals a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level that coincides with our identified resistance zones. Fibonacci levels are widely used in technical analysis to predict potential reversal points, and the 78.6% retracement is particularly notable for its reliability in signaling resistance.
Furthermore, the dynamic trendline of a bearish channel, which has been tracking the pair’s movements, also intersects near these resistance levels. This trendline adds another layer of potential resistance, suggesting that the price may rebound upon reaching this confluence of technical indicators. Although this detail is secondary, it provides additional confirmation of our analysis.
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