The potential impact of a Donald Trump presidency on Bitcoin’s price in 2025 and beyond is uncertain and speculative, as it would depend on a variety of factors, including Trump’s policies, the broader economic environment, and market sentiment at the time.
However; Several key variables could influence Bitcoin’s trajectory under Trump and the soon to be total controlling Republican administration, including but not limited to the currently announced tariffs, and the efforts to pass regressive conservative laws under project 2025. But to give a better understanding of where this might lead we’ll focus mainly on the tariffs Trump and his administration are planning to pass and will be in effect come Jan 27, 2025.
The likely impact on crypto and the global market as a whole is staggering, for example the impact on Tech and Mining alone will drive up the price only to see it sharply crash due to the massive sell off of bitcoin holders that want to survive these 4 years of Trump’s Tariffs – if they last that long.
For example: Bitcoin mining is heavily reliant on hardware and energy costs. If tariffs were imposed on mining equipment (often imported from China or other countries), it could increase costs for miners, which might reduce Bitcoin’s overall supply or shift mining operations. This could impact the network and potentially cause volatility and not in a good way that’s beneficial to the crypto market.
On November 8th 2024 –
The Republican party announced that Project 2025 is to be the main focused agenda – this is not a good thing for the crypto market.
If this is the case this would mean the Federal reserve is not active or none-existent under Trump and the Republican Party for the next 4 years, if they forced to remove the Federal reserve chairman who has stated he will refuse nor can he be removed.
However; if he could be removed due to project 2025 agenda, where as all branches of the government fall under the presidents control and if the chairman is removed. This is not ideal as no knowledge on inflation means the market is walking blind and is likely collapsing due to Trump’s tariffs still being active by Jun 2025.
With these tariffs in place the likely case that China has a banned on both imports and exports from the US and likely banned bitcoin and crypto as a whole since 37.8% bitcoin miners are located in the US and are going to be suffering from these tariffs.
It’s a likelihood by Jan 27 which is the date tariffs are to be enacted by the Republicans, will likely force many bitcoin miners to sell all their shares just to keep the lights on.
Trump made promises to those interested in crypto as investors, that I’m certain he won’t be keeping.
The factors that lead to Bitcoin finally becoming an ETF under the Democrats may now be its undoing,
where as the Republican party will likely force sanctions or taxations on crypto investors
it’s a highly likely possible outcome due to these Trump tariffs doing a great amount of damage to
the US economy that the Republican ran government has to find a solution outside of removing those
Tariffs with a likelihood they won’t lift them with or without Trump being in office due to his age.
Republicans don’t fully require Trump to keep these tariffs in place, and the economic damage it will
cause is high, that’s why the stock market are in an uproar as they fear much of the US economy
will tank, and sadly they crypto market may follow suit.
Closer look 2025 to 2026
These are some of the possible outcomes along with what could cause these events with the Tariffs in place:
Economic Uncertainty: Tariffs could lead to trade disruptions, inflation, or market volatility. In times of economic uncertainty, investors sometimes turn to Bitcoin as a hedge, driving its price higher. However, if tariffs lead to a broader economic slowdown, the opposite could happen, with Bitcoin’s value falling alongside traditional markets.
Impact on Tech and Mining: Bitcoin mining is heavily reliant on hardware and energy costs. If tariffs were imposed on mining equipment (often imported from China or other countries), it could increase costs for miners, which might reduce Bitcoin’s overall supply or shift mining operations. This could impact the network and potentially cause volatility.
Global Market Effects: Bitcoin is a global asset, and tariffs can have far-reaching effects on international trade and investor sentiment. If Trump’s tariffs were to significantly affect global trade or lead to a currency devaluation, Bitcoin might see price fluctuations as investors react to these changes.
Dollar Strength: Tariffs often affect the value of the U.S. dollar. If tariffs weaken the dollar, Bitcoin may rise as investors look for alternatives to the dollar. Conversely, if tariffs result in a strong dollar due to economic policies, Bitcoin could face downward pressure as it competes with traditional assets.
What might trigger these are many factors.
But what is most noticeable is the fact of Trump’s cabinet picks, none of whom have experience in any of these branches of government, all if not most of them are war hawks, conspiracy theorist and enablers of the now 47th presidents ego. None of whom will not likely to talk Trump into ending the tariffs and likely will do their best to milk as much as possible from the chaus that comes from them being active, but what is most surprising is the effect this has on that of Elon Musk position at the white house. He was basically demoted and placed in a non-existent department that is neither funded nor approved by congress, even still it may not have a budget of no more than 12 to 18 months.
Elon is the self proclaimed spokesperson for crypto, yet he’s been demoted to a job outside of Trump’s office, in other words he’s been played like many of the republicans who voted for Trump.
So Elon may as well be the first of many to be removed out of the inner circle of Trump’s administration, and the crypto market investors maybe the ones who pay the price for it.
this among other issues that could take place with these tariffs if they get passed and enacted Jan 27, 2025.
So enjoy your All Time High while you can – it will be crashing whether you want it too or not.