1. This fractal follows the 2006-2007 cycle using US10Y (leading indicator).
2. The orange lines denote a peak in SPY. In this case, a second top in equities this cycle is expected in late Q4 2025, or early 2026 (latest).
3. The bottom in equities appear to be circa Q4 2026, or Q1 2027. Qualitatively, this could point to the house flipping blue.
4. Interestingly, this chart expects a short-term spike in US10Y before its eventual descent to just under 3% by 2027. We may have already seeing this spike in April 2025 ala tariffs.
5. Technical recession is pretty much already on its way. 2026 will not be kind.
6. GLD and US Treasury Bonds (
TLT
TMF) will likely be fantastic safe havens.
7. BTC is tethered to SPY, so watch the cycle closely. Liquidate your alt portfolio by 2026.
8. DXY is expected to perform poorly with targets of 95, 85 and 75.
9. We want China to do well but avoid China like the plague.