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Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑
Based on Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD “The Fiber” Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I’ve outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.
Entry : “The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price – the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss :
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.04000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target :
Primary Target – 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target – 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money .
️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD “The Fiber” Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
⭐⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair.
Eurozone Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators.
Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade.
United States Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators.
Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade.
The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce.
⭐⭐Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone’s energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook.
⭐⭐Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted.
Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies.
Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation.
Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis.
⭐⭐COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing:
For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report.
Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels.
Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move.
⭐⭐Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations.
Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends.
Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights.
Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend.
⭐⭐Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis.
Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide.
Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal.
⭐⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD.
Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts.
Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength.
⭐⭐Next Trend Move
Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward:
The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800.
Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks.
⭐⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term.
⭐⭐Future Prediction
Trend: Bullish
Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it’s essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ️
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Supporting our robbery plan Hit the Boost Button will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money . Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🤝️
I’ll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🤗🤩