Previous context and analysis in the article:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US500/kuvvXLmm-Global-Market-Overview-Part-2-U-S-Stock-Indices/
Gold isn’t rising — it’s holding its breath
Gold has always served as a shock-absorbing safe haven.
It’s not a profit-driven asset — it’s a refuge. Every time the market starts humming with anxiety, gold silently braces.
Pandemics, geopolitical tension, trade wars, Fed rhetoric, or a poorly timed phrase from the President — they all trigger the same pattern: capital flows into the metal.
And 2025 is no exception.
With trade escalation between the U.S. and China, demand for gold has surged to new local highs.
The panic — skillfully inflated by headlines and press conferences — has done its job. We see gold near its peak, and it might not be done yet.
The real question is: why is gold here at all?
The answer is simple: gold didn’t climb on its own — it was lifted by a wave of fundamental instability, primarily fueled by U.S. policy.
Not a “safe haven” — a forced alternative
Investors didn’t move into gold because they suddenly believe in the metal.
They moved because they no longer believe in the market. Because what they see on screen is chaos — tariffs, threats, vague statements, disinformation, political pressure on the Fed — and no clear path forward.
And when the path disappears, they turn to what isn’t politically tied — or at least appears not to be.
Everyone knows gold doesn’t create value. It produces nothing, pays no dividends, funds no innovation.
It just sits. And waits.
But in uncertain times — that’s exactly what investors want: time and silence.
Bitcoin once again out of play
Yes, crypto enthusiasts still dream of the day when capital fleeing panic will head not for gold, but for Bitcoin.
But in today’s reality — it’s the same old pattern:
Big money moves to metal, not blockchain.
Institutions still choose an asset with thousands of years of trust, not a volatile instrument that could collapse after one regulatory hearing.
Gold at $3,000 — then what?
The target zone for gold in this panic cycle could well be $3,000 per ounce. And yes, it’s possible.
But only as long as fear lives.
The moment clarity returns — especially in the Washington–Beijing storyline — gold will lose its appeal.
And it will fall just as fast as it rose.
The market isn’t driven by fundamentals — it’s driven by perception.
And perception is fickle.
Today, everyone runs for shelter.
Tomorrow, there’s “positive progress in negotiations” — and capital runs from gold to equities, risk assets, buybacks, and tech.
Gold is not a goal. It’s a pit stop.
The financial theater under Trump’s direction
In my view, we’re not just witnessing a volatile phase.
We’re watching a deliberate manipulation.
The media noise rose in just a few weeks. The panic feels artificially inflated. Too many coincidences.
The stock market crashes. Assets depreciate.
And then, just days later, the very same voices behind the headlines begin buying the dip.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory.
It’s an obvious scheme:
Panic. Crash. Accumulate. Recovery. Profit. Repeat.
Trump and his inner circle aren’t conducting policy — they’re executing a financial operation.
And if anyone believes this market will fall forever — they don’t understand how cycles work in the hands of skilled manipulators.
Growth is fast. So is the illusion of control.
Understand one more thing:
As fast as the market rose — it can collapse just as quickly.
Especially when that growth is built not on fundamentals, but on fear-fueled liquidity.
Once tension breaks, gold will fall first.
Followed by stocks — particularly those overpriced during the rush into “safe” alternatives.
A market fueled by panic cannot grow for long.
It burns like paper.
Final thought
A deal between the U.S. and China is near.
The information noise is too loud to be real.
The stock market will again show how chaos can create opportunity.
And gold… gold will fade into the background.
Because safe havens are only needed while the sirens are sounding.
And in this theater — the sirens are already nearing their final act.