XAUUSD following a strong wave of liquidation on Friday, gold is now retesting a key support area around 3004.9 – where price action briefly created a “false break” before staging a modest rebound. The broader bullish momentum remains intact, fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions and heightened demand for safe-haven assets.
Last week, price action mainly fluctuated within the 3024–3045 consolidation zone. The Friday sell-off occurred against the backdrop of expectations that the White House will revise tariff policies, signaling a potential easing stance toward major trade partners. Additionally, positive sentiment stemming from ongoing negotiations in Eastern Europe – where the U.S. plays a pivotal role – continues to provide a supportive environment for gold.
This week, market focus shifts to U.S.–Russia talks and preliminary PMI data, both of which could inject significant volatility if outcomes deviate from expectations.
From a technical perspective, the 3024 level is the key pivot point. As long as buyers defend this zone, the bullish trend is likely to extend toward the 3045–3056 resistance range. A breakout above this resistance could open the door for a retest of the all-time high. However, price action near that zone could trigger profit-taking and lead to a temporary pullback.