Today’s market analysis and interpretation:
First, the gold daily level: After closing with a full increase of 100 US dollars yesterday, it continued to rise by nearly 90 US dollars today. The daily line may not feel the acceleration, but from the weekly line, the trend of continuous large positives for nearly three weeks and an increase of more than 500 US dollars, it seems to be accelerating to the top; although the overall bullish trend this year will not be affected at all, in the short term, some bulls may flee due to the accelerated pull, that is, profit-taking, which is often more likely to happen; In addition, yesterday’s research report focused on interpreting the trend of 2956 to 3500. It is very likely to cycle the previous wave of 2832 to 3167. The maximum retracement of 618 division position just confirms the previous top and bottom support of 3167. In addition, from the wave shape, if 2832-3167 belongs to the first wave, 3167 to 2956 belongs to the second wave, and the third wave is calculated by 1.618 times the first wave, it is exactly 3498, which is today’s intraday high of 3500. Then the fourth correction wave may be brewing in the follow-up, which is generally the third wave 382 or 50 division, and it generally will not fall below the first wave high of 3167. Therefore, in the next few days, if 3500 cannot be broken through again, the correction will focus on the 382 division support 3292 and the 50 division support 3228. The limit is that it is unlikely to fall too far from 3167, and then Waiting for the opportunity of band bullishness, each squat adjustment is to further continue the bullish trend;
Second, gold 4-hour level: the current MA5-day moving average support is barely holding up temporarily, and the top is a bearish pattern of “evening star” with a large Yin wrapped in Yang. It needs to be combined with the subsequent K-line pattern. If there are continuous Yins and large Yins continue to appear, then this cycle will begin to be under pressure, and the MA10-day support of 3428 and the middle track of 3378-72 will be gradually tested below;
Third, gold hourly level: Asian session continues to rise sharply, but the European session suppresses the 3500 line and falls back, temporarily supporting the middle track. The inability of the European session to attack increases the risk of further downward adjustment tonight; once the middle track is effectively lost, it will continue to fall. Finally, tonight, we can gradually see the 66-day moving average, which is also the lower track of the white channel in the figure, about 3380; The short-term resistance is the 10-day moving average and the white channel counter-pressure point, concentrated at 3470-3480, which happens to be the 618 division point of the European session’s decline and rebound; therefore, pay attention to 3470-3480 tonight. If it cannot withstand the pressure, it will continue to decline and gradually look at 3428 and 3411. The strong support is in the range of 3380-3370 tonight. If it stabilizes here, it will rebound to confirm the middle track, and the ups and downs will be huge.