#SHIBUSDT Weekly Outlook — Mid-Cycle Reversal or Final Retest?
Published: May 10, 2025
Timeframe: 1W | Exchange: Binance
Author: HamadaMark
Market Structure Overview
SHIB has completed a multi-year macro compression phase and is currently retesting the mid-cycle support zone, holding above critical levels for now. The chart now reflects two scenarios merging:
A descending macro channel
A forming double bottom reversal near key historical demand
Observed Patterns:
Macro descending channel
Higher low structure vs. 2022–2023 base
Failed breakdown attempt below $0.00001073
Fibonacci levels and price memory still respected
🟦 Key Support Levels:
Main Support Zone: $0.00001103 – $0.00001073
Last Defense / Panic Level: $0.00000535
Breakdown here = cycle invalidation, opens risk for full reset
Lower Historic Floor: $0.00000510 (cycle base)
Bullish Reversal Targets (Fib-Based):
TP1: $0.00001761 – Previous neckline zone
TP2: $0.00002828 – Channel midpoint / Fib 0.786
TP3: $0.00004176 – Macro W-pattern measured move
TP4: $0.00005842 – Fib 1.618 (Breakout extension)
TP5: $0.00008555 – 2.618 (2021 ATH retest territory)
Potential upside: +200% to +400% if structure holds
🧠 Strategy Insight
• Long-term buyers may DCA in the blue zone
• Higher probability entries on reclaim of $0.000017–$0.000020
• Full confirmation only if SHIB breaks above $0.00002828 with volume
• Panic below $0.00000535 = invalidation of long-term accumulation thesis
SHIB has historically delivered explosive returns after long consolidations — the current zone mirrors past setups.
What’s Next?
If bulls hold $0.000011–$0.000015 and reclaim mid-range resistances, we enter the next cycle phase.
A W-reversal is forming — neckline breakout will flip sentiment across the market.
This is SHIB’s final test — hold the base, and meme season returns. Lose it, and lights go off for a while.
we ask Allah reconcile and repay