EUR/USD TRADE PLAN
Date: 15 April 2025
Plan Type:
Dual-Sided Swing Plan
Buy Setup: Bullish Continuation from Demand
Sell Setup: Counter-Trend Reversal from Supply
Bias:
Primary Bias: Bullish (HTF trend continuation)
Secondary Bias: Bearish (short-term exhaustion + liquidity grab)
🧠 Structure Observations:
Price has reacted off weekly supply near 1.1420+
Bearish engulfing confirmed on H4
Still bullish on HTF, unless 1.1180 breaks clean
Demand remains valid at prior breakout and imbalance zones
Volume support at breakout base (H4 OB region)
🟢 BUY PLAN – BULLISH CONTINUATION
Confidence Levels:
🟢 Buy Plan – Bullish Continuation
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons:
HTF uptrend still intact
Price respecting major demand zone structure
Clean reaction zones + recent bullish reaction wicks
Entry Zones:
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.1180 – 1.1200
(FVG + H4 OB + H1 reaction point + 50 EMA region)
Entry trigger: M15–H1 bullish engulfing or sweep-reclaim pattern
🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 1.1110 – 1.1135
(Deep demand + macro OB + previous resistance turned support)
Entry only after liquidity sweep and reclaim on H1
Stop Loss:
Below 1.1090
→ Clears all demand layers and invalidates bullish bias
Take Profits:
TP1: 1.1285 → Reaction point & H1 imbalance top
TP2: 1.1340 → Prior highs before supply zone
TP3: 1.1395 → Supply edge retest / liquidity magnet
SELL PLAN – REVERSAL FROM SUPPLY
Sell Plan – Counter-Trend Reversal
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%)
️ Reasons:
Near-term overextension visible from 1.14+ zone
Weekly supply unmitigated; wicks show rejection
Lower timeframes indicate momentum loss
But trend is still bullish overall (so more caution)
Entry Zones:
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1385
(Weekly supply + wick fill + unmitigated imbalance)
Confirmation: M15–H1 bearish divergence, exhaustion wick, or engulfing
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 1.1285 – 1.1310
(Short-term supply pocket + FVG gap)
Needs aggressive confirmation — avoid early entry
Stop Loss:
Above 1.1405
→ Invalidates supply and structure, breakout confirmed
Take Profits:
TP1: 1.1230 → Intra-demand + mid FVG
TP2: 1.1180 → Bullish entry zone
TP3: 1.1135 → Final target at deep support zone
Risk–Reward Projection:
Buy Plan: Approx. 1:3.2 R:R
Sell Plan: Approx. 1:2.8 to 1:3.5 depending on execution
Validity:
48 hours from plan release or upon break of SL levels on either side
Fundamentals to Watch:
Upcoming Eurozone ZEW data + US retail sales
Fed rate sentiment remains dovish near-term
Watch bond yield volatility this week
Final Summary:
EUR/USD is in a broader bullish structure but has now faced significant overhead supply. Short-term bearish pressure is visible, but structure remains intact unless 1.1090 is breached. Dual-plan allows traders to operate both edges with proper confirmation.